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Sunday, April 28
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League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
LC

Morecambe
3 - 2
Lincoln

Stockton (50', 86'), Niasse (66')
Adams (35'), Crowley (45+1'), Stockton (68'), Austerfield (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sorensen (30'), Virtue (48')
Virtue (34'), Erhahon (74'), Poole (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 2-3 Morecambe
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Morecambe 1-2 Lincoln City

Given the magnitude of their recent victories, Morecambe will fancy their chances of a third successive victory. However, Lincoln are looking for a third away success of their own on away territory, leading us to predict a win for Kennedy's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
MorecambeDrawLincoln City
29.4% (0.0040000000000013 0) 25.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 45.13% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 53.8% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.25% (0.015999999999998 0.02)49.75% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.24% (0.015000000000001 0.02)71.75% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.99% (0.012999999999991 0.01)31% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.69% (0.014000000000003 0.01)67.31% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)22.02% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.66% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)55.34% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 29.4%
    Lincoln City 45.13%
    Draw 25.46%
MorecambeDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 7.08% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 4.68%
3-1 @ 2.77% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.83%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 29.4%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.83% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 10.33%
1-2 @ 9.15%
0-2 @ 7.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.75% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 45.13%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Charlton 2-3 Morecambe
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 Wycombe
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-0 Morecambe
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-3 Plymouth
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 5-0 Morecambe
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 1-0 Morecambe
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 0-2 Lincoln
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Barnsley
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 3-2 Port Vale
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 0-2 Lincoln
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 2-0 Cheltenham
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One


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