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League One | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Home Park
LC

Plymouth
0 - 2
Lincoln


Wilson (30')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Shodipo (28'), House (47')
O'Connor (43'), Virtue (56'), Erhahon (58')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 2-0 Cheltenham
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-0 Lincoln City

Although Lincoln would have taken confidence from Friday's victory, we think that they will be unable to trouble a Plymouth side that have won eight of their last nine home league games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 58.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 18.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawLincoln City
58.44% (1.452 1.45) 22.67% (-0.559 -0.56) 18.89% (-0.887 -0.89)
Both teams to score 50.9% (0.256 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.12% (1.095 1.1)47.89% (-1.089 -1.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.94% (0.999 1)70.07% (-0.992 -0.99)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.93% (0.892 0.89)16.07% (-0.885 -0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.55% (1.6 1.6)45.45% (-1.593 -1.59)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.65% (-0.337 -0.34)39.35% (0.345 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.95% (-0.317 -0.32)76.05% (0.324 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 58.43%
    Lincoln City 18.89%
    Draw 22.67%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 11.56% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-0 @ 10.56% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.44% (0.281 0.28)
3-1 @ 6.01% (0.207 0.21)
4-0 @ 2.94% (0.211 0.21)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.071 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.75% (0.173 0.17)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.069 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.08% (0.106 0.11)
5-1 @ 1% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 58.43%
1-1 @ 10.78% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-0 @ 6.32% (-0.291 -0.29)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 22.67%
0-1 @ 5.9% (-0.328 -0.33)
1-2 @ 5.03% (-0.172 -0.17)
0-2 @ 2.75% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-3 @ 1.56% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 18.89%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Morecambe 1-3 Plymouth
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 4-0 Plymouth
Sunday, April 2 at 3pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Accrington 0-2 Plymouth
Tuesday, March 21 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 2-0 Forest Green
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 3-0 Plymouth
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 2-1 Derby
Tuesday, March 7 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 2-0 Cheltenham
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 2-1 Lincoln
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-3 Peterborough
Saturday, March 18 at 1pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 2-1 Lincoln
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-0 Lincoln
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in League One


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