Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 56.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 21.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.81%) and 0-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Morecambe win it was 2-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
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