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League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
MT

Sutton
0 - 2
Mansfield


Hart (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Quinn (25'), Akins (75')
Clarke (82')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 8-0 Sutton
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Sutton United 1-2 Mansfield Town

A new manager in the dugout can often have an immediate impact, but in this case, we believe the character and consistency of Mansfield Town will take advantage of a side that may still be reeling psychologically from what transpired last weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-0 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawMansfield Town
31.7% (-1.038 -1.04) 24.95% (0.195 0.2) 43.35% (0.84 0.84)
Both teams to score 56.69% (-1.082 -1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.49% (-1.231 -1.23)46.51% (1.228 1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.21% (-1.167 -1.17)68.79% (1.163 1.16)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.19% (-1.255 -1.26)27.8% (1.252 1.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.61% (-1.634 -1.63)63.39% (1.63 1.63)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.52% (-0.133 -0.13)21.48% (0.13 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.49% (-0.202 -0.2)54.51% (0.198 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 31.7%
    Mansfield Town 43.35%
    Draw 24.94%
Sutton UnitedDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 7.64% (0.127 0.13)
2-1 @ 7.52% (-0.172 -0.17)
2-0 @ 4.89% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.21% (-0.192 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-0 @ 2.09% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 31.7%
1-1 @ 11.75% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 5.97% (0.304 0.3)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 9.19% (0.433 0.43)
1-2 @ 9.04% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 7.06% (0.306 0.31)
1-3 @ 4.64% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.62% (0.143 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.78% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.39% (0.05 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 43.35%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Stockport 8-0 Sutton
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 3-0 Horsham
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Crewe
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Sutton
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Charlton 3-0 Sutton
Tuesday, November 21 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Tranmere
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 1-3 Mansfield
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-2 Tranmere
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 2-1 Mansfield
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-1 Mansfield
Tuesday, November 21 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Mansfield 2-0 Newport
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 1-2 Mansfield
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two


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