Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 48.03%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Morecambe in this match.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
