With the second half of the season now underway, Sutton and Newport will look to begin the new year on the front foot and pick up a morale-boosting result. Coughlan's men head into the game as the more in-form side and we can see them scraping a narrow victory in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
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