Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Tbilisi win with a probability of 49.55%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Mornar had a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Tbilisi win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.87%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Mornar win it was 1-0 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
0.01) 
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