SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Kilmarnock |
46.26% ( 0.71) | 25.69% ( 0.23) | 28.05% ( -0.95) |
| Both teams to score 52.24% ( -1.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.62% ( -1.48) | 51.38% ( 1.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.8% ( -1.31) | 73.19% ( 1.3) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.81% ( -0.3) | 22.19% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.4% ( -0.45) | 55.6% ( 0.45) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.14% ( -1.49) | 32.86% ( 1.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.57% ( -1.69) | 69.42% ( 1.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.54) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.34)3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.23% Total : 46.26% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.42)2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.21)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.52% Total : 28.05% |
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