The form book is very much with Motherwell, who look like they will comfortably avoid relegation after their previous concerns. Nevertheless, Livingston may do enough to claim a draw, even though it will not necessarily help them in the race for the top six.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
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