Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NS Mura win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a NS Mura win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
