Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win with a probability of 48.76%. A win for Naftan had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Naftan win was 1-0 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Naftan | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
27.06% ( 0.2) | 24.17% ( -0.09) | 48.76% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 56.36% ( 0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.38% ( 0.56) | 45.61% ( -0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.06% ( 0.53) | 67.93% ( -0.54) |
Naftan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.41% ( 0.45) | 30.59% ( -0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.18% ( 0.53) | 66.82% ( -0.54) |
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.2% ( 0.17) | 18.79% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.79% ( 0.29) | 50.21% ( -0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Naftan | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
1-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.03% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) Other @ 3% Total : 27.07% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.17% | 0-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 9.52% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 5.3% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 2.22% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.87% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.28% Total : 48.76% |
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