J1 League | Gameweek 11
May 3, 2024 at 11am UK
Toyota Stadium
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Vissel Kobe.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 53.56%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 20.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.03%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 1-0 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.
| Result |
| Nagoya Grampus | Draw | Vissel Kobe |
20.48% ( 0.2) | 25.97% ( -0.21) | 53.56% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 43.96% ( 0.79) |
| 41.6% ( 0.89) | 58.4% ( -0.89) |
| 21% ( 0.69) | 79% ( -0.69) |
| 56.3% ( 0.74) | 43.7% ( -0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.13% ( 0.61) | 79.88% ( -0.61) |
| 78.08% ( 0.38) | 21.92% ( -0.38) |
