Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 46.34%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
-0.21) 
0.26) 
