Nantes have managed much-needed wins over Toulouse and Lorient in recent weeks, and Les Canaris should be confident of repeating the trick on Sunday afternoon.
Against a backdrop of fan protests and financial issues, we do not believe that Metz will be able to earn a positive result at Stade de la Beaujoire this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Metz had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
-0.28) 
0.24) 
