SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 60.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 17.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.54%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Nantong Zhiyun win it was 1-0 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Chengdu Rongcheng in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Chengdu Rongcheng |
17.03% ( -0.69) | 22.63% ( -0.02) | 60.33% ( 0.71) |
| Both teams to score 47.63% ( -1.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.51% ( -0.96) | 50.48% ( 0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.59% ( -0.86) | 72.41% ( 0.85) |
| Nantong Zhiyun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.92% ( -1.41) | 43.07% ( 1.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.64% ( -1.21) | 79.35% ( 1.21) |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.67% ( -0.09) | 16.33% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.08% ( -0.17) | 45.92% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Chengdu Rongcheng |
| 1-0 @ 5.92% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.67% Total : 17.03% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.77% Total : 22.63% | 0-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.45) 0-2 @ 11.54% ( 0.37)1-2 @ 9.73% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 6.98% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 5.88% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 3.16% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 2.66% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.12)0-5 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.06)1-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.93% Total : 60.32% |
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