SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 64.56%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 14.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Nantong Zhiyun win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chengdu Rongcheng in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Rongcheng | Draw | Nantong Zhiyun |
64.56% ( -0.51) | 20.97% ( 0.23) | 14.47% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 47.01% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.72% ( -0.36) | 48.28% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.57% ( -0.33) | 70.43% ( 0.34) |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.78% ( -0.27) | 14.22% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.04% ( -0.53) | 41.96% ( 0.54) |
| Nantong Zhiyun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.81% ( 0.2) | 45.19% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.91% ( 0.16) | 81.09% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chengdu Rongcheng | Draw | Nantong Zhiyun |
| 1-0 @ 12.53% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 12.22% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.43% Total : 64.55% | 1-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.73% Total : 20.97% | 0-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.32% Total : 14.47% |
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