SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 89.69%. A draw had a probability of 7.3% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 2.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10.68%) and 2-0 (10.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.46%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 0-1 (1%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Rongcheng would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Rongcheng | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
89.69% ( 0.23) | 7.34% ( -0.1) | 2.97% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 41.87% ( -1.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.77% ( -0.43) | 23.23% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.43% ( -0.58) | 42.57% ( 0.58) |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.9% ( -0.03) | 3.1% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 86.13% ( -0.1) | 13.87% ( 0.1) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.21% ( -1.18) | 56.79% ( 1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.08% ( -0.68) | 88.92% ( 0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chengdu Rongcheng | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
| 3-0 @ 12.29% ( 0.27) 4-0 @ 10.68% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.26)5-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.1)1-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.07)6-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.08)6-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.05)7-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.09)7-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.07)8-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.48% Total : 89.68% | 1-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.42% Total : 7.34% | 0-1 @ 1% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.99% Total : 2.97% |
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