SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantong Zhiyun win with a probability of 46.87%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantong Zhiyun win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
46.87% ( -0.21) | 25.25% ( 0.34) | 27.88% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 53.47% ( -1.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.29% ( -1.5) | 49.71% ( 1.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.27% ( -1.36) | 71.72% ( 1.36) |
| Nantong Zhiyun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.77% ( -0.7) | 21.23% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.87% ( -1.1) | 54.13% ( 1.1) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.88% ( -0.88) | 32.12% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.41% ( -1.02) | 68.59% ( 1.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
| 1-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.49% Total : 46.86% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.41)2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.68% Total : 27.88% |
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