SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Nantong Zhiyun win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chengdu Qianbao in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Nantong Zhiyun |
46.38% ( -0.12) | 25.3% ( 0.05) | 28.32% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.62% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.34% ( -0.15) | 49.66% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.32% ( -0.14) | 71.68% ( 0.14) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.57% ( -0.12) | 21.43% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.57% ( -0.18) | 54.43% ( 0.18) |
| Nantong Zhiyun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.24% ( -0.02) | 31.76% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.82% ( -0.03) | 68.18% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Nantong Zhiyun |
| 1-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 46.37% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 28.32% |
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