SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 57.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Chengdu Rongcheng had a probability of 19.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Chengdu Rongcheng win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Chengdu Rongcheng |
57.31% ( 0.25) | 22.88% ( -0.12) | 19.81% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 51.81% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.55% ( 0.32) | 47.45% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.33% ( 0.29) | 69.66% ( -0.3) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.69% ( 0.19) | 16.31% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.12% ( 0.35) | 45.88% ( -0.36) |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.9% ( 0.04) | 38.09% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.14% ( 0.04) | 74.86% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Chengdu Rongcheng |
| 1-0 @ 11.26% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.16% Total : 57.3% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.87% | 0-1 @ 6% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.53% Total : 19.81% |
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