Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantong Zhiyun win with a probability of 49.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Zhejiang Professional had a probability of 25.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantong Zhiyun win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Zhejiang Professional win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
-0.07) 
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