SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 48.78%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Chengdu Qianbao had a probability of 25.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Chengdu Qianbao win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Chengdu Qianbao |
48.78% ( -0.32) | 25.75% ( 0.16) | 25.47% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 50.02% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.7% ( -0.5) | 53.3% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.15% ( -0.42) | 74.85% ( 0.42) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.13% ( -0.35) | 21.87% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.89% ( -0.53) | 55.11% ( 0.53) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.01% ( -0.13) | 35.98% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.24% ( -0.13) | 72.76% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Chengdu Qianbao |
| 1-0 @ 11.96% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.26% Total : 48.78% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.92% Total : 25.47% |
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