SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 63.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Zhejiang Professional had a probability of 15.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Zhejiang Professional win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
63.59% ( 0.76) | 20.58% ( -0.28) | 15.83% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 51.53% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.06% ( 0.32) | 43.93% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.68% ( 0.31) | 66.32% ( -0.32) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.85% ( 0.32) | 13.15% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.18% ( 0.66) | 39.82% ( -0.66) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.33% ( -0.43) | 40.67% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.74% ( -0.39) | 77.26% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
| 2-0 @ 11% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 10.84% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.07% Total : 63.58% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.58% | 0-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.82% Total : 15.83% |
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