SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 43%. A win for Zhejiang Professional had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Zhejiang Professional win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
43% ( -2.33) | 24.64% ( 0.72) | 32.36% ( 1.62) |
| Both teams to score 58.03% ( -1.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.11% ( -2.64) | 44.89% ( 2.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.75% ( -2.6) | 67.25% ( 2.6) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.05% ( -2.09) | 20.95% ( 2.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.3% ( -3.39) | 53.7% ( 3.39) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.41% ( -0.28) | 26.59% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.18% ( -0.37) | 61.82% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
| 2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.21) 1-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.43)2-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.43)3-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.3)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.31)4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.3)4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.22)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.21)Other @ 2.69% Total : 43% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.19)0-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.61)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.64% | 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.26) 0-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.76)0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.47)1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.19)1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.17% Total : 32.36% |
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