Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sichuan Jiuniu win with a probability of 45.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 26.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sichuan Jiuniu win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.9%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Nantong Zhiyun win it was 1-0 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sichuan Jiuniu in this match.
0.01) 
-0.03) 
