SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 50.54%. A win for Sichuan Jiuniu had a probability of 24.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (9.01%). The likeliest Sichuan Jiuniu win was 1-0 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Shanghai Shenhua in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sichuan Jiuniu | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
24.75% ( 0.45) | 24.71% ( 0.19) | 50.54% ( -0.64) |
| Both teams to score 52.47% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.25% ( -0.4) | 49.74% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.24% ( -0.36) | 71.75% ( 0.36) |
| Sichuan Jiuniu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.33% ( 0.18) | 34.67% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.61% ( 0.19) | 71.39% ( -0.18) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.31% ( -0.41) | 19.69% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.31% ( -0.68) | 51.69% ( 0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sichuan Jiuniu | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 1-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.12% Total : 24.75% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.71% | 0-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.55% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 9.01% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 5.17% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 4.88% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.89% Total : 50.54% |
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