SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Sichuan Jiuniu had a probability of 21.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Sichuan Jiuniu win it was 1-0 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sichuan Jiuniu | Draw | Shanghai Port |
21.51% ( -1.05) | 23.15% ( -0.2) | 55.33% ( 1.24) |
| Both teams to score 53.5% ( -0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.52% ( -0.34) | 46.48% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.24% ( -0.32) | 68.76% ( 0.32) |
| Sichuan Jiuniu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.19% ( -1.18) | 35.81% ( 1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.41% ( -1.23) | 72.58% ( 1.23) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.35% ( 0.32) | 16.65% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.49% ( 0.57) | 46.5% ( -0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sichuan Jiuniu | Draw | Shanghai Port |
| 1-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.22)2-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.87% Total : 21.51% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.15% | 0-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 9.58% ( 0.34)1-3 @ 5.88% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 5.73% ( 0.26)2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.64% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 2.57% ( 0.14)2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 0.92% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.18% Total : 55.32% |
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