SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantong Zhiyun win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantong Zhiyun win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
38.85% ( -0.06) | 26.61% ( 0.16) | 34.54% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 52.02% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.09% ( -0.68) | 52.9% ( 0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.49% ( -0.58) | 74.51% ( 0.59) |
| Nantong Zhiyun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.41% ( -0.35) | 26.59% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.19% ( -0.47) | 61.81% ( 0.47) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.86% ( -0.39) | 29.13% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.93% ( -0.49) | 65.06% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
| 1-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 38.85% | 1-1 @ 12.65% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.55% Total : 34.54% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
