Though Napoli remain inconsistent, Francesco Calzona has got them closer to their Scudetto-winning style than either of his two predecessors this season; as Frosinone routinely fail to deliver when on the road, all three points should be theirs for the taking.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 63.55%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 16.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Frosinone win it was 1-2 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
0.28) 
-0.13) 
