Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Juventus
40.31% ( 0.49)	25.35% ( 0.04)	34.34% ( -0.53)

Both teams to score 56.18% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.45% (

-0.27)

47.55% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.24% (

-0.24)

69.75% (

0.24)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.61% (

0.13)

23.39% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.63% (

0.19)

57.37% (

-0.19)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.34% (

-0.44)

26.66% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.09% (

-0.58)

61.91% (

0.58)

Score Analysis

Napoli 40.31%

Juventus 34.34%

Draw 25.34%

Napoli	Draw	Juventus
1-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 40.31%	1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.34%	0-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.16% Total : 34.34%