SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 57.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Napoli had a probability of 20.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Napoli win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Napoli |
57.34% ( -0.51) | 22.39% ( 0.52) | 20.27% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.11% ( -1.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.25% ( -2.36) | 44.75% ( 2.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.89% ( -2.32) | 67.11% ( 2.31) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.64% ( -0.97) | 15.36% ( 0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.86% ( -1.84) | 44.13% ( 1.83) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.93% ( -1.37) | 36.06% ( 1.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.15% ( -1.42) | 72.84% ( 1.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Milan | Draw | Napoli |
| 1-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.69) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.34)3-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.23)3-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.24)4-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.21)4-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.17)5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.53% Total : 57.33% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.54)2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.39% | 0-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.81% Total : 20.27% |
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