AFC Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Feb 15, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadion Surkhon
Khamrobekov (11'),
Babayan (31'), Nikabadze (79')
FT
Al-Sagour (53')
Form, Standings, Stats
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
We said: Navbahor 0-2 Al Ittihad
Given the popularity of the Saudi Pro League in Uzbekistan, home field might not be a big advantage for Navbahor in this encounter.
Neither side are in great form at the moment, but Al Ittihad have at least played their share of meaningful games lately, while Thursday will mark nearly a month since their opponents will have played, which should give the Saudis an edge.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Navbahor had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Navbahor win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result |
| Navbahor | Draw | Al Ittihad |
26.93% ( 0.21) | 25.99% ( 0.01) | 47.08% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 50.51% ( 0.14) |
| 46.75% ( 0.1) | 53.25% ( -0.09) |
| 25.19% ( 0.08) | 74.8% ( -0.08) |
| 65.26% ( 0.23) | 34.73% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.53% ( 0.24) | 71.46% ( -0.23) |
| 77.39% ( -0.05) | 22.61% ( 0.06) |
