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Liga MX | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 4am UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Necaxa
1 - 2
Tijuana

Palavecino (34' pen.)
Rosero (9'), Fentanes (10'), Arce (50'), Montes (81')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Rivera (28' pen.), Castaneda (43')
Reynoso (19'), Blanco (45+6')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Club Tijuana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cruz Azul 3-0 Necaxa
Sunday, October 6 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 2-1 Pachuca
Saturday, October 5 at 4am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 49.4%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 25.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 0-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
NecaxaDrawClub Tijuana
49.4% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 24.71%25.89% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.6% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.21% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)48.79% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.11% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)70.89% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.22%19.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.17% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)51.83% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.81% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)33.19% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.2% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)69.8% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Necaxa 49.4%
    Club Tijuana 25.89%
    Draw 24.7%
NecaxaDrawClub Tijuana
1-0 @ 10.63%
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.14%
3-0 @ 4.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.08%
4-0 @ 1.89% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 49.4%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 6.56% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.7%
0-1 @ 7.24%
1-2 @ 6.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.47% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 25.89%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Cruz Azul 3-0 Necaxa
Sunday, October 6 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Queretaro 0-0 Necaxa
Saturday, September 28 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-1 America
Sunday, September 22 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 0-0 Necaxa
Thursday, September 19 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 2-0 Pumas
Saturday, September 14 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 3-2 Necaxa
Monday, September 2 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 2-1 Pachuca
Saturday, October 5 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 1-0 Mazatlan
Saturday, September 28 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 1-0 Tijuana
Monday, September 23 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 4-0 Tijuana
Saturday, September 14 at 11.45pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 2-1 Club Leon
Saturday, August 31 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 2-2 Monterrey
Saturday, August 24 at 4.05am in Liga MX


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