Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Necaxa	Draw	Queretaro
45.01% ( 0.56)	25.97% ( 0.06)	29.02% ( -0.62)

Both teams to score 52% (

-0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.01% (

-0.52)

51.99% (

0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.27% (

-0.46)

73.73% (

0.46)

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.97% (

0.04)

23.03% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.15% (

0.06)

56.85% (

-0.06)

Queretaro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.56% (

-0.73)

32.44% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.04% (

-0.83)

68.96% (

0.83)

Score Analysis

Necaxa 45.01%

Queretaro 29.02%

Draw 25.97%

Necaxa	Draw	Queretaro
1-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 45.01%	1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.97%	0-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.63% Total : 29.02%