Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 49.33%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 24.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Queretaro win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Necaxa in this match.
