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Liga MX | Gameweek 12
Mar 16, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Azteca

Cruz Azul
1 - 2
Necaxa

Rotondi (9')
Lira (61'), Faravelli (76'), Rivero (90+2'), Rotondi (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Cambindo (12'), Paradela (28')
Pena (52'), Garnica (90+6')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Necaxa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Santos Laguna 3-0 Cruz Azul
Sunday, March 10 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 3-1 Atletico San Luis
Saturday, March 9 at 3am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 62%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 16.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Cruz AzulDrawNecaxa
62% (-0.174 -0.17) 21.62% (0.032999999999998 0.03) 16.38% (0.145 0.15)
Both teams to score 49.38% (0.201 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.57% (0.112 0.11)47.43% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.36% (0.102 0.1)69.64% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.25% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)14.75% (0.022 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.03% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)42.97% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.92% (0.251 0.25)42.08% (-0.247 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.5% (0.219 0.22)78.5% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Cruz Azul 61.99%
    Necaxa 16.38%
    Draw 21.61%
Cruz AzulDrawNecaxa
1-0 @ 11.87% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 11.36% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.25% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.28% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.47% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.019 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.33% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.15% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 61.99%
1-1 @ 10.28% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.21% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.26% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 21.61%
0-1 @ 5.37% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.45% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.33% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.28% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.23% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 16.38%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Santos Laguna 3-0 Cruz Azul
Sunday, March 10 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 3-0 Guadalajara
Sunday, March 3 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 1-0 Cruz Azul
Sunday, February 25 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 2-3 Cruz Azul
Thursday, February 22 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-0 Tigres
Sunday, February 18 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 3-0 Atletico San Luis
Sunday, February 11 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 3-1 Atletico San Luis
Saturday, March 9 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 2-1 Necaxa
Saturday, March 2 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-1 Pachuca
Saturday, February 24 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-0 Guadalajara
Wednesday, February 21 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Queretaro 1-1 Necaxa
Saturday, February 17 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 3-3 Toluca
Saturday, February 10 at 11pm in Liga MX


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