Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 48.19%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Necaxa	Draw	Queretaro
48.19% ( 0.06)	25.68% ( -0.18)	26.13% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 50.79% (

0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.43% (

0.81)

52.57% (

-0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.77% (

0.69)

74.23% (

-0.69)

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.17% (

0.36)

21.82% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.95% (

0.55)

55.04% (

-0.55)

Queretaro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.97% (

0.54)

35.03% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.22% (

0.56)

71.77% (

-0.56)

Score Analysis

Necaxa 48.19%

Queretaro 26.13%

Draw 25.67%

Necaxa	Draw	Queretaro
1-0 @ 11.63% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.49% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.29% Total : 48.19%	1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.67%	0-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.08% Total : 26.13%