Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 42.23%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.
-0.24) 
0.03) 
