Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 59.12%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Neftchi Baku had a probability of 18.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.66%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Neftchi Baku win it was 1-0 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fenerbahce in this match.
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