Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 55.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Canada had a probability of 20.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Canada win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.
Result | ||
Netherlands | Draw | Canada |
55.74% ( -0.02) | 23.69% ( 0.01) | 20.57% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.47% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.16% ( -0) | 49.84% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.16% ( -0) | 71.84% ( 0.01) |
Netherlands Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.28% ( -0.01) | 17.72% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.61% ( -0.02) | 48.39% ( 0.02) |
Canada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.34% ( 0.02) | 38.66% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.6% ( 0.02) | 75.41% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Netherlands | Draw | Canada |
1-0 @ 11.85% 2-0 @ 10.25% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.62% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.52% Total : 55.72% | 1-1 @ 11.26% 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.68% | 0-1 @ 6.51% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.35% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.09% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 1.47% Total : 20.57% |
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