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Friendlies 1
Jun 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Feijenoord
CN

Netherlands
4 - 0
Canada

Depay (50'), Frimpong (57'), Weghorst (63'), van Dijk (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bombito (41')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Germany 2-1 Netherlands
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Canada 2-0 Trin. & Tob.
Saturday, March 23 at 8pm in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Netherlands 3-1 Canada

There are players in this Canadian squad who will feel that they can impact on this contest, perhaps even guide Canada to a draw. However, we are backing the Dutch to eventually come through in style, potentially courtesy of a fast conclusion to the match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 55.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Canada had a probability of 20.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Canada win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
NetherlandsDrawCanada
55.74% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 23.69% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 20.57% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.47% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.16% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)49.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.16% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)71.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.28% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)17.72% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.61% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)48.39% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.34% (0.023000000000003 0.02)38.66% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.6% (0.021000000000001 0.02)75.41% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Netherlands 55.72%
    Canada 20.57%
    Draw 23.68%
NetherlandsDrawCanada
1-0 @ 11.85%
2-0 @ 10.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 5.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.43% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 55.72%
1-1 @ 11.26%
0-0 @ 6.85% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 23.68%
0-1 @ 6.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 5.35% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.09% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.7% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 20.57%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Germany 2-1 Netherlands
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Netherlands 4-0 Scotland
Friday, March 22 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Gibraltar 0-6 Netherlands
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Netherlands 1-0 Rep. Ireland
Saturday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Greece 0-1 Netherlands
Monday, October 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Netherlands 1-2 France
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Canada 2-0 Trin. & Tob.
Saturday, March 23 at 8pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Canada 2-3 Jamaica
Wednesday, November 22 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Jamaica 1-2 Canada
Saturday, November 18 at 3.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Japan 4-1 Canada
Friday, October 13 at 11.35am in International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 2-2 Canada (3-2 pen.)
Monday, July 10 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Canada 4-2 Cuba
Tuesday, July 4 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup


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