SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Guatemala | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Canada | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Cuba | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Canada had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Canada win was 0-1 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jamaica | Draw | Canada |
37.65% ( -0.27) | 28.38% ( 0.19) | 33.96% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 46.53% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.25% ( -0.68) | 59.75% ( 0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.95% ( -0.53) | 80.05% ( 0.53) |
| Jamaica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.41% ( -0.5) | 30.59% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.18% ( -0.6) | 66.82% ( 0.6) |
| Canada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.04% ( -0.3) | 32.96% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.46% ( -0.34) | 69.54% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jamaica | Draw | Canada |
| 1-0 @ 11.94% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.26% Total : 37.65% | 1-1 @ 13.25% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.38% | 0-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.58% Total : 33.95% |
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