SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 44%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.85%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | Club America |
32.94% ( -1.42) | 23.06% ( -0.37) | 44% ( 1.79) |
| Both teams to score 64.02% ( 0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.86% ( 1.38) | 37.13% ( -1.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.66% ( 1.48) | 59.33% ( -1.49) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.46% ( -0.13) | 22.54% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.88% ( -0.19) | 56.11% ( 0.18) |
| Club America Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.64% ( 1.29) | 17.35% ( -1.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.25% ( 2.22) | 47.75% ( -2.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | Club America |
| 2-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.25) 1-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.42)2-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.33)3-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 3.28% Total : 32.94% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.27)3-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.05% | 1-2 @ 8.94% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 6% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 5.22% ( 0.28)2-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.2)1-4 @ 2.28% ( 0.21)2-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.15)0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.15)Other @ 4.1% Total : 44% |
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