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CONCACAF Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 7, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio AKRON

Guadalajara
0 - 3
America


Torres (13'), Alvarado (75'), Mozo (83')
Torres (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Quinones (15' pen.), Valdes (70'), Martin (90+4')
Jardine (14'), dos Santos (33'), Reyes (89')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League Round of 16 clash between CD Guadalajara and Club America.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cruz Azul 3-0 Guadalajara
Sunday, March 3 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Next Game: Guadalajara vs. Club Leon
Saturday, March 9 at 11.05pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 1-5 America
Sunday, March 3 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Next Game: America vs. Tigres
Sunday, March 10 at 3am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawClub America
34.72% (0.307 0.31) 25.61% (0.0039999999999978 0) 39.67% (-0.31 -0.31)
Both teams to score 55.38% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.38% (0.037000000000006 0.04)48.61% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.26% (0.032 0.03)70.73% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.05% (0.203 0.2)26.94% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.72% (0.265 0.27)62.28% (-0.262 -0.26)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.81% (-0.14399999999999 -0.14)24.19% (0.147 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.48% (-0.204 -0.2)58.52% (0.207 0.21)
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 34.73%
    Club America 39.67%
    Draw 25.61%
CD GuadalajaraDrawClub America
1-0 @ 8.55% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.96% (0.046 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.61% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.48% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.47% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.45% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 34.73%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 6.52% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.61%
0-1 @ 9.25% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.61% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.56% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.07% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.11% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.45% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 39.67%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Cruz Azul 3-0 Guadalajara
Sunday, March 3 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 3-1 Pumas
Sunday, February 25 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-0 Guadalajara
Wednesday, February 21 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 2-2 Guadalajara
Saturday, February 17 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 2-1 Forge
Wednesday, February 14 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Guadalajara 2-1 Juarez
Saturday, February 10 at 11.05pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 1-5 America
Sunday, March 3 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 1-0 Cruz Azul
Sunday, February 25 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 2-2 Mazatlan
Thursday, February 22 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 2-1 America
Sunday, February 18 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 2-0 Real Estelí
Thursday, February 15 at 3.15am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Club Leon 0-1 America
Sunday, February 11 at 1am in Liga MX


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