SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 45.66%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.98%), while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Tigre |
45.66% ( 0.48) | 30.24% ( 0.08) | 24.1% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 37.6% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.45% ( -0.48) | 68.55% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.7% ( -0.32) | 86.3% ( 0.32) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.57% ( 0.02) | 30.43% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.37% ( 0.02) | 66.63% ( -0.02) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.05% ( -0.83) | 45.95% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.32% ( -0.66) | 81.68% ( 0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Tigre |
| 1-0 @ 16.63% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.18)2-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.19% Total : 45.65% | 0-0 @ 13.98% ( 0.25) 1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.33% Total : 30.23% | 0-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.57% Total : 24.1% |
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