Lyon have been one of the best sides in France during 2023, and even though they will fancy their chances to win here, it will surely not be enough to claim a spot in Europe.
Despite a run of five wins in their last seven home league games against Lyon, Nice face a very in-form outfit, determined to finish the season strongly.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Lyon win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
0.37) 
-0.05) 
