SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Rennes |
39.22% ( 0.41) | 25.19% ( 0.02) | 35.59% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 56.97% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.38% ( -0.13) | 46.62% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.11% ( -0.12) | 68.89% ( 0.12) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.47% ( 0.16) | 23.53% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.42% ( 0.22) | 57.57% ( -0.22) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.51% ( -0.3) | 25.49% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.66% ( -0.41) | 60.33% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.07% Total : 39.22% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.59% Total : 35.59% |
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