SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Southampton |
43.98% ( -0.27) | 23.77% ( 0.02) | 32.24% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 61.07% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.12% ( 0.01) | 40.87% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.74% ( 0.01) | 63.26% ( -0.01) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.13% ( -0.11) | 18.86% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.66% ( -0.18) | 50.33% ( 0.19) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.28% ( 0.16) | 24.72% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.73% ( 0.21) | 59.26% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Southampton |
| 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.41% Total : 43.98% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.66% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.77% | 1-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 32.24% |
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