SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.75%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-3 win for Chelsea in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chelsea.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Chelsea |
34.4% ( -1.72) | 23.18% ( -0.3) | 42.41% ( 2.02) |
| Both teams to score 64.05% ( 0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.7% ( 1.12) | 37.3% ( -1.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.49% ( 1.19) | 59.51% ( -1.2) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.18% ( -0.38) | 21.82% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.96% ( -0.58) | 55.03% ( 0.58) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.93% ( 1.33) | 18.07% ( -1.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.01% ( 2.23) | 48.98% ( -2.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Chelsea |
| 2-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.27) 1-0 @ 6% ( -0.4)2-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.36)3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.21)4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.53% Total : 34.4% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.22)3-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.17% | 1-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 5.01% ( 0.3)2-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.19)0-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.23)1-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.21)2-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.15)0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.16)Other @ 3.81% Total : 42.41% |
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