Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 66.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Chelsea had a probability of 15.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 1-0 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Chelsea win it was 1-2 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
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