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Premier League | Gameweek 29
Apr 23, 2024 at 8pm UK
Emirates Stadium
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Arsenal
5 - 0
Chelsea

Trossard (4'), White (52', 70'), Havertz (57', 65')
Arteta (43'), Trossard (45'), White (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gilchrist (42'), Cucurella (43')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolves 0-2 Arsenal
Saturday, April 20 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 66.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Chelsea had a probability of 15.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 1-0 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Chelsea win it was 1-2 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawChelsea
66.75%18.06%15.19% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Both teams to score 59.12% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.67% (0.0019999999999953 0)33.33% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.9%55.1%
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.74% (0.0010000000000048 0)9.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.71% (0.0010000000000048 0)31.29% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.15% (0.0020000000000095 0)34.85% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.41% (0.0010000000000012 0)71.59% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 66.75%
    Chelsea 15.19%
    Draw 18.06%
ArsenalDrawChelsea
2-1 @ 9.63%
2-0 @ 9.14%
1-0 @ 7.68% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 7.64%
3-0 @ 7.25%
4-1 @ 4.54%
4-0 @ 4.31%
3-2 @ 4.03%
4-2 @ 2.4%
5-1 @ 2.16%
5-0 @ 2.05%
5-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 4.79%
Total : 66.75%
1-1 @ 8.09%
2-2 @ 5.08%
0-0 @ 3.23%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 18.06%
1-2 @ 4.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 3.4%
0-2 @ 1.79%
2-3 @ 1.78%
1-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 15.19%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Wolves 0-2 Arsenal
Saturday, April 20 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bayern 1-0 Arsenal
Wednesday, April 17 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Arsenal 0-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, April 14 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-2 Bayern
Tuesday, April 9 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Brighton 0-3 Arsenal
Saturday, April 6 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-0 Luton
Wednesday, April 3 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 1-0 Chelsea
Saturday, April 20 at 5.15pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Chelsea 6-0 Everton
Monday, April 15 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-2 Chelsea
Sunday, April 7 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 4-3 Man Utd
Thursday, April 4 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-2 Burnley
Saturday, March 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 4-2 Leicester
Sunday, March 17 at 12.45pm in FA Cup


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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