Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 54.94%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-0 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Chelsea |
22.1% ( 1.3) | 22.96% ( 0.75) | 54.94% ( -2.05) |
Both teams to score 54.96% ( -0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.07% ( -1.7) | 44.93% ( 1.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.72% ( -1.65) | 67.29% ( 1.66) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.62% ( 0.28) | 34.38% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.91% ( 0.3) | 71.09% ( -0.3) |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.76% ( -1.28) | 16.24% ( 1.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.25% ( -2.38) | 45.75% ( 2.38) |
Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Chelsea |
1-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.47) 2-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.12% Total : 22.1% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( 0.4) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.95% | 0-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 9.23% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 5.97% ( -0.31) 0-3 @ 5.59% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 2.71% ( -0.27) 0-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.28) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.13) 1-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.15) 0-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.36% Total : 54.93% |
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