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Premier League | Gameweek 18
Jan 1, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
City Ground
CL

Nott'm Forest
1 - 1
Chelsea

Aurier (63')
Yates (42'), Lodi (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sterling (16')
Azpilicueta (53'), Gallagher (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 2-0 Bournemouth
Tuesday, December 27 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 54.94%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-0 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawChelsea
22.1% (1.3 1.3) 22.96% (0.75 0.75) 54.94% (-2.049 -2.05)
Both teams to score 54.96% (-0.599 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.07% (-1.699 -1.7)44.93% (1.7 1.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.72% (-1.655 -1.65)67.29% (1.656 1.66)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.62% (0.28400000000001 0.28)34.38% (-0.282 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.91% (0.3 0.3)71.09% (-0.29899999999999 -0.3)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.76% (-1.28 -1.28)16.24% (1.281 1.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.25% (-2.379 -2.38)45.75% (2.38 2.38)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 22.1%
    Chelsea 54.93%
    Draw 22.95%
Nottingham ForestDrawChelsea
1-0 @ 5.96% (0.468 0.47)
2-1 @ 5.78% (0.256 0.26)
2-0 @ 3.18% (0.272 0.27)
3-1 @ 2.06% (0.106 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.13% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 22.1%
1-1 @ 10.83% (0.4 0.4)
0-0 @ 5.58% (0.398 0.4)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.95%
0-1 @ 10.14% (0.289 0.29)
1-2 @ 9.85% (-0.066999999999998 -0.07)
0-2 @ 9.23% (-0.134 -0.13)
1-3 @ 5.97% (-0.312 -0.31)
0-3 @ 5.59% (-0.338 -0.34)
2-3 @ 3.19% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-4 @ 2.71% (-0.271 -0.27)
0-4 @ 2.54% (-0.275 -0.28)
2-4 @ 1.45% (-0.132 -0.13)
1-5 @ 0.99% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-5 @ 0.92% (-0.146 -0.15)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 54.93%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Man Utd 3-0 Nott'm Forest
Tuesday, December 27 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Blackburn 1-4 Nott'm Forest
Wednesday, December 21 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Valencia 1-2 Nott'm Forest
Friday, December 16 at 6.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Olympiacos 1-0 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, December 10 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Atromitos 3-2 Nott'm Forest
Tuesday, December 6 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Stoke 2-1 Nott'm Forest
Friday, December 2 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Chelsea 2-0 Bournemouth
Tuesday, December 27 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Chelsea
Sunday, December 11 at 2.10pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Chelsea
Saturday, November 12 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 2-0 Chelsea
Wednesday, November 9 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Chelsea 0-1 Arsenal
Sunday, November 6 at 12pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Dinamo Zagreb
Wednesday, November 2 at 8pm in Champions League


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